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Development of improved cloud parameterizations for Global Climate Models (GCMs) is one of the top priorities of the climate research community. Improving such parameterizations is widely recognized as a prerequisite for fundamental advances in climate change research. The difficulty in creating cloud parameterizations that give accurate results across a wide range of regions, times, and climate regimes is that the underlying dynamical processes are unresolved at current GCM grid scales. In addition, many important physical processes, of which radiative transfer is among the most important, are nonlinear with respect to the unresolved cloud spatial distribution. One promising current strategy for addressing these issues is to explicitly predict these subgrid distributions inside each GCM grid cell. However, developing, testing, and refining such "statistical cloud schemes" are in their earliest stages. In particular, the impact of spatially variable cloud fields on model radiative transfer has not been well quantified. The radiative consequences of using the more realistic representations of cloud water spatial variability that would be produced by a statistical cloud scheme and the potential gains and tradeoffs of such a strategy are major unanswered questions. More generally, much additional work is needed on the problem of radiative transfer through an inhomogeneous cloud field, a problem that has important implications for understanding atmospheric and climate system processes. Here we describe a proposal for a Small Grant for Exploratory Research (SGER) to begin addressing these issues. Part of the motivation for this proposal comes from the opportunity to combine two powerful tools for investigating cloud variability and radiative transfer and to apply the combination to the scientific issues discussed above. These tools are: (i) a state-of-the-art, high-resolution, 3-D numerical atmospheric model; (ii) a state-of-the-art stochastic radiative transfer model that can accurately represent shortwave fluxes through a highly variable cloud field. This project has three major objectives:
Taken together, we expect this analysis will have broader impacts on the climate research and modeling communities by yielding useful insights into the impact of smaller-scale cloud variability on GCM-scale radiative fluxes, when and where the representation of such variability might be needed or desirable, and the dependence of this impact on the underlying resolution of the cloud field and the cloud-producing dynamics and thermodynamics. As such, the proposed work speaks directly to the goals of the NSF Climate Dynamics program in the Atmospheric Sciences Division to investigate the processes that govern climate and climate change and to develop and use climate models to diagnose and simulate climate. Furthermore, we believe that linking a high-resolution, 3-D atmospheric numerical model to a sophisticated radiative transfer scheme with the capability to take advantage of the additional information on cloud spatial variability provided will prove to be a highly effective methodology for investigating fundamental questions of radiative transfer through a cloudy atmosphere and aiding parameterization development. Therefore, the development and demonstration of this methodology is an appropriate subject for an SGER proposal. |